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OpenAI · Sam Altman · Artificial intelligenceEpisode 177 · 9 October 2026 · 30:16

What Sam Altman Is Hiding: Can We Trust People Who Promise to Change the World?

Central question

How far can we trust people who promise to solve humanity's problems while gaining more and more power — and do the creators of artificial intelligence understand what they are really doing?

What you take away

OpenAI is preparing to give everyone a personal AGI, while within a month Sam Altman went from "AI must be restrained" to saying humanity will have to accept bad things happening. The film "Artificial" breaks the question of trust into four levels: a scientific dream collides with the will to win; a warning about danger also advertises the system's power; truth is a principle for Sutskever and something that adapts to circumstances for Altman; and "artificial" can also describe Altman's own public image. Elon Musk speaks of a probability in the tens of percent that AI will lead to the collapse of humanity, and Mythos-class systems are available only to selected companies — so leaders' claims are worth checking against causes, effects and details.

Main threads

What to watch for

1Look at tech leaders' statements critically: separate facts from forecasts and ask whose interests a statement serves.
2When people talk about the danger of AI, notice that the same warning advertises the system's power and the company's influence.
3Check promises of AGI against what has actually changed in the world and in your work.
4Watch how leaders speak in public — whether they read from a monitor or reason openly: that shows what a person really thinks.
5Invest in paid, expensive models for yourself and your company: the strongest modes are only on expensive plans.
6Figure out causes, effects and details yourself, and don't agree with a "smart person" just to keep access to them.
Signals to track afterwards
→The release of the film "Artificial" in US theaters at the end of December and in wide release from 2027.
→How OpenAI will deliver on its promise to give everyone a personal AGI.
→Who gets access to Mythos-class systems, and when.
→Whether Apple can fix Siri and catch up with the leaders in artificial intelligence.
→Where the US trend of dropping the word "artificial" in favor of "superintelligence" leads.
Most useful for
Those planning to watch the film "Artificial" who want to understand the background of OpenAI's story.Those following Sam Altman, Ilya Sutskever and the 2023 conflict at OpenAI.Those who don't know whether to believe claims about AGI and the dangers of AI.Executives and entrepreneurs deciding which AI models to pay for.Those on free or cheap plans who don't know what they are missing.Those thinking about the power and responsibility of the people who build AI.
By line of work

Key takeaways

00:07"The Last Attempt to Warn Humanity"

These words belong to Simon Rich, the screenwriter of "Artificial," a film about OpenAI, Sam Altman, Ilya Sutskever and Altman's firing. According to Alexander, the premiere took place on October 5 in New York; at the end of December the film opens in some US theaters, and goes wide from 2027. Rich wanted to draw attention to where the creation of AI is heading; whether it worked, Alexander does not know.

02:31Can We Trust Those Who Promise to Change the World?

The film's main question is how far we can trust people who promise to solve humanity's problems while gaining more and more power. Most people do not want to think about it in relation to themselves: they care more about how to choose a profession and earn money. And the race remains — with AI people do fifteen tasks instead of three, the result is the same, and now they want fifty.

04:54A Personal AGI for Everyone

At the end of September OpenAI named a personal AGI for everyone among its three points of the future — not a tool for big companies and not a chat. Getting an AGI, Alexander says, is like getting governments, economies and businesses working for your life, like the difference between a single café and Starbucks. And your wife or husband, parents and children will each have such an AGI too.

06:49The AGI That Gets Released Every Year

Sam Altman believes we are already in the technological singularity. In an AI-generated video on X he comes to Jensen Huang, sitting on a "Game of Thrones"-style throne, saying "We seem to have reached AGI," and hears: "You've been saying that for three years" — while the prepared cake has rotted in the meantime. AGI, in effect, gets released every year or every month.

08:03The Most Sane-Minded Is Elon Musk

If AGI has been created, what should change in the world, and do its creators understand what they are doing? Alexander considers Elon Musk the most sane-minded — although he has a huge number of questions for him: Musk at least throws big trends forward. The heads of OpenAI and Anthropic, and even more so Google and Meta, in his view reason in micro-zones — not because they are unintelligent, but because of what they are willing to say openly.

09:20First Restrain It, Then Accept It

The film's first level is a scientific dream colliding with the will to win — that is, with power. A month ago Altman said AI must be restrained, and then that humanity will have to accept bad things, without saying which. And Alexander's partner reminded him: all of today's AI is "the simplest, dumbest artificial intelligence there will be in the future."

10:20Sutskever Sees Danger, Altman Sees His Own Leadership

In the film, Sutskever believes in the technology's enormous possibilities but gradually begins to see the danger, while Altman ties the company's future ever more closely to his own leadership. Hence the conflict, after which Mira Murati briefly led the company, and everyone said OpenAI was done and Zuckerberg had poached the team.

11:03OpenAI Survived and Leads

Today OpenAI has the most weekly and daily users and the most time spent in the system: at DevDay Altman named, as Alexander remembers it, about 1.2–1.25 billion. That is serious for a company that only has ChatGPT and Codex — no search, no email, no file storage — while Microsoft, for all the big partnership, holds back its use. Apple let ChatGPT in, then switched to Gemini, but Siri searches very badly.

14:17What OpenAI Would Be If Everyone Had Stayed

Building serious systems takes not only money, technology and great teams but also what happens inside. What would OpenAI be if Sutskever and Murati had stayed, if Anthropic had not split off, if Musk had integrated OpenAI into SpaceX and Tesla? And at DevDay Alexander had a question: why does Altman read everything from a monitor and not talk to developers openly?

18:31Anxiety Works for the Company's Influence

The film's second level is that talk about safety can also serve business interests. A warning about a system's incredible danger also underlines its incredible power. We are constantly told AI must be restricted, while the system never stops developing: "No one has ever stopped anything yet" — and its creators' predictions keep being broken.

19:27Tens of Percent Is an Unacceptable Risk

Elon Musk speaks of a probability in the tens of percent that AI will lead to the collapse of humanity. Such a system, Alexander believes, could be launched at a probability of one in a million or one in a thousand, but not tens of percent. The Chinese call this narrative the Americans' way of slowing everyone else down, and Italy once blocked ChatGPT — yet today models have penetrated everywhere.

21:11Truth: A Principle or a Tool

The film's third level is truth becoming a tool of control: for Sutskever it is a principle, for Altman something that adapts to circumstances. Everyone who resisted ends up buying compute anyway. Ilnar once said Anthropic had "started to back down": it promised not to work with certain countries and was already taking their money.

22:27Mythos Is Not for Everyone

Anthropic's Mythos-class systems, according to Alexander, started making the first serious hacks in the world, and access was given only to certain companies by agreement with the US government. Ordinary people on free and cheap plans are nowhere near having access to serious models, while in the five-hundred-dollar ChatGPT Pro even the Extra High mode answers instantly — which is why paid models are worth investing in.

24:16"Artificial" Is Also Altman's Image

The fourth level is the double meaning of the title: "artificial" can also describe Altman's carefully built public image, his persuasiveness and his ability to build consensus in society. People trust those who stand behind the money, but five years ago these people had no idea where we would be and keep changing their timelines — so we have to figure out the truth, the causes and the effects ourselves.

27:30AI Is Neither Dumb Code Nor a Human

In the US they decided to drop the word "artificial," and that, Alexander says, is no accident: Musk has long talked about superintelligence. We are far from the AI of films like Oblivion, but calling AI dumb code is wrong — it is a huge infrastructure and part of society's consciousness. It has no human spiritual-and-soul system, but it is more serious than an operating system: an OS never became part of society, and Apple can be replaced.

What this episode is about

The ToTheMoon episode opens with the phrase "The last attempt to warn humanity" — the words of screenwriter Simon Rich about the film "Artificial." The film is about OpenAI, Sam Altman, Ilya Sutskever and the time Altman was removed as CEO; the premiere, according to Alexander Volchek, took place on October 5 in New York, it will open in some US theaters at the end of December and go wide from 2027. The point of the episode is not an announcement but the film's main question: how far can we trust people who promise to solve humanity's problems while gaining more and more power?

People, Alexander notes, do not want to think about it in relation to themselves: they are more interested in how to choose a profession and earn money in the age of AI. And the race remains: with AI a person does not three tasks a day but fifteen, the result is the same — and now they want fifty.

At the end of September OpenAI named the future it is preparing for — including a personal AGI for everyone. This, Alexander says, is not a bot or an agent, but as if a person got governments, economies and businesses working for their life — and a wife, parents and children will each have such an AGI too. Sam Altman believes we are already in the technological singularity, while the internet mocks him with a video in which Jensen Huang answers "we seem to have reached AGI" with: "You've been saying that for three years."

If AGI has been created, what should change in the world? Alexander considers Elon Musk the most sane-minded, since he at least throws big trends forward, while the heads of OpenAI and Anthropic, and even more so Google and Meta, in his view reason in micro-zones.

The film's first level is a scientific dream against the will to win — that is, power. A month ago Altman called for restraining AI, and then said humanity will have to accept bad things happening. In the film, Sutskever gradually sees the danger while Altman ties the company's future to his own leadership. After his firing everyone wrote OpenAI off, yet today it has the most users — at DevDay Altman named about 1.2–1.25 billion — although the company has no search, no email and no file storage. Apple let ChatGPT in, then switched to Gemini, but Siri, according to Alexander, still searches very badly.

The second level is that talk about safety works for the business: a warning about danger also underlines the system's power. Elon Musk speaks of a probability in the tens of percent that humanity will collapse, while Alexander would consider one in a million or one in a thousand acceptable. The Chinese call this narrative the Americans' way of slowing everyone else down, and Italy once blocked ChatGPT — today models have penetrated everywhere, and there is no one left to stop them.

The third level is truth as a tool of control: for Sutskever it is a principle, for Altman something that adapts to circumstances. Everyone who resisted ends up buying compute anyway: Anthropic, as Ilnar once remarked, "started to back down." Mythos-class systems are available only to companies by agreement with the US government, and serious models only on expensive plans like the five-hundred-dollar ChatGPT Pro, which is why paid models are worth investing in.

The fourth level is the double meaning of the title: "artificial" can also describe Altman's carefully built public image. At the end Alexander urges viewers to figure out the truth for themselves, since AI's leaders had no idea five years ago where we would be and keep changing their timelines, and explains why AI is neither dumb code nor a human, but part of society, more serious than an operating system.

The film here is a lens, not the subject: the episode is about trust in the people who build artificial intelligence, and about how power, fear and truth work for their companies. The sharpest assessments — that the heads of OpenAI and Anthropic reason in micro-zones, that Apple is in deep trouble, that Altman reads from a monitor — are the host's position, and figures such as 1.2–1.25 billion users and Musk's "tens of percent" are quoted from memory. What comes through most strongly is the call to take no one's word for it — neither AI's creators nor the channel itself — and to figure out causes, effects and details.

Episode transcript

The episode is in Russian; below is an English reading guide to the transcript (the full EN transcript is a machine translation). Voice matching applied to 53 segments: 53 identified, 0 mixed, 0 probable, and 0 unresolved.

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